Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2026 7.45pm
Hampden Park

Scotland vs Slovenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Slovenia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Slovenia win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Scotland has a probability of 34.84% and a draw has a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Scotland win is 1-0 (9.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.13%).

Result

Scotland 34.84% ▲ (+5.06)
Draw 27.03% ▲ (+0.23)
Slovenia 38.12% ▼ (-5.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.56% ▲ (+2.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.62% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 1.5 28.38% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 2.5 46.51% ▲ (+2.04)
Under 2.5 53.49% ▼ (-2.04)
Over 3.5 26.44% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 3.5 73.56% ▼ (-1.60)
Over 4.5 14.55% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 4.5 85.45% ▼ (-1.01)

First Half Winner

Scotland 24.18% ▲ (+0.49)
Draw 45.63% ▲ (+0.25)
Slovenia 30.19% ▼ (-0.74)

Team To Score First

Scotland 43.12% ▲ (+2.30)
No Goal 8.39% ▼ (-0.52)
Slovenia 48.49% ▼ (-1.79)

Corners

Over 8 54.7% ▼ (-4.59)
Equal 8 11.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 8 33.93% ▲ (+4.65)
Over 9 43.39% ▼ (-4.14)
Equal 9 11.31% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 9 45.3% ▲ (+4.59)
Over 10.5 33.02% ▼ (-3.41)
Under 10.5 66.98% ▲ (+3.42)

Scotland Goals

Over 1.5 34.11% ▲ (+5.38)
Under 1.5 65.89% ▼ (-5.38)
Over 2.5 13.31% ▲ (+3.23)
Under 2.5 86.69% ▼ (-3.22)
Over 3.5 4.43% ▲ (+1.23)
Under 3.5 95.57% ▼ (-1.24)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 69.44% ▼ (-2.69)
Under 0.5 30.56% ▲ (+2.68)
Over 1.5 36.3% ▼ (-2.56)
Under 1.5 63.7% ▲ (+2.56)
Over 2.5 14.08% ▼ (-1.92)
Under 2.5 85.92% ▲ (+1.93)
Over 3.5 4.75% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 95.25% ▲ (+0.66)

Score analysis

Scotland 34.85%
Draw 27.03%
Slovenia 38.12%
Scotland
1-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.46)
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.87)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.84)
3-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.60)
3-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.75)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.41)
Other @ 4.28% ▲ (+1.17)
Total : 34.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.52)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.59)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 27.03%
Slovenia
0-1 @ 10.52% ▼ (-1.43)
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 6.92% ▼ (-1.20)
1-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.59)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.77)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.74)
Total : 38.12%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Stožice
  • Adam Gnezda Cerin 75' yellowcard
  • Zan Karnicnik 82' yellowcard
  • Sandi Lovrić 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 35'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 8, 2017 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Roman Bezjak 52' goal
  • Roman Bezjak 72' goal
  • goal Leigh Griffiths 32'
  • goal Robert Snodgrass 88'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 26, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Martin 88' goal