Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2026 7.45pm
swissporarena

Switzerland vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

North Macedonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Switzerland win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw has a probability of 19.12% and a win for North Macedonia has a probability of 8.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.67%) and 3-0 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.31%) , while for a North Macedonia win it is 0-1 (3.67%).

Result

Switzerland 71.95% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 19.12% ▼ (-0.01)
North Macedonia 8.96% ▼ (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.23% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.58% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 25.42% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 51.61% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 48.39% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 29.51% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 70.49% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 21.23% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 78.77% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Switzerland 56.7% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 34.13% ▼ (-0.06)
North Macedonia 9.16% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Switzerland 73.88% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 7.88% ▼ (-0.08)
North Macedonia 18.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.71% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 8 12.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 34.65% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 40.32% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 12.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 47.29% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 10.5 29.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 70.76% ▲ (+0.10)

Switzerland Goals

Over 1.5 61.42% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 38.58% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 36.91% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 63.09% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 18.55% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 81.45% ▼ (-0.19)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 35.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 64.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 9.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 90.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Switzerland 71.96%
Draw 19.12%
North Macedonia 8.94%
Switzerland
1-0 @ 13.89% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 13.67% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 18.39% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 71.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 19.12%
North Macedonia
0-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 8.94%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Toše Proeski Arena
  • Bojan Ilievski 36' yellowcard
  • Enis Bardhi 43' yellowcard
  • Matej Gashtarov 49' yellowcard
  • Azer Omeragić  78' yellowcard
  • goal Remo Freuler 22'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 41'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 74'