Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Damac win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.