Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 76.78%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 9.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-3 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.34%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 2-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.