Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 2-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.