Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 32
May 16, 2025 at 4.55pm UK
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al-Hasa

Al Fateh
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Bendebka (15', 24'), Batna (82')
Qasim (18'), Saadane (77'), Batna (87'), Alothma (90+17')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Al-Dawsari (50'), Al-Dawsari (60'), Mitrovic (85', 90+2')
Tambakti (90+13'), Tambakti (90+13'), Neves (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-0 Al Fateh
Saturday, May 10 at 5.25pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 4-0 Al Orubah
Monday, May 12 at 5.05pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 2-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl-Hilal
16.25% (0.126 0.13)17.22% (0.07 0.07)66.52% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Both teams to score 65.34% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.22% (-0.107 -0.11)26.77% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.8% (-0.135 -0.13)47.2% (0.131 0.13)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.061999999999998 0.06)29.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.077999999999996 0.08)65.27% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.42% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)7.58% (0.066 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.87% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)27.13% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 16.26%
    Al-Hilal 66.52%
    Draw 17.22%
Al FatehDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 4.32% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 2.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.77% (0.015 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.67% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 16.26%
1-1 @ 7.03% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 17.22%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 6.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-4 @ 5.03% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.79%
0-4 @ 4.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 3.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
1-6 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-6 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 66.52%

How you voted: Al Fateh vs Al-Hilal

Al Fateh
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Al-Hilal
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2025 3.05pm
Gameweek 15
Al-Hilal
9-0
Al Fateh
Koulibaly (20'), Lodi (39'), Leonardo (45+6' pen., 54', 65'), Milinkovic-Savic (45+9'), Al Hamdan (89'), Malcom (90+5'), Al Abdulwahed (90+8' og.)
Neves (7'), Cancelo (90+10')

Baattia (45+8'), Ayman Alzaid (64'), Al Daheem (69'), Al Abdulwahed (90+8')
Maher Aljari (90+11')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 29
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Fateh
Michael (58'), Neves (74' pen.), Albulayhi (90+15')
Michael (33'), Al-Dawsari (36')
Zelarayan (57')
Bilic (34'), Baattia (38'), Tello (72'), Zelarayan (73')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Al Fateh
0-2
Al-Hilal

Zelarayan (90+1')
Mitrovic (5' pen.), Al-Dawsari (90+3')
Koulibaly (26'), Albulayhi (34'), Bono (45+3'), Neves (66')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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