Saudi Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2026 7.00pm
Alinma Stadium

Al-Ahli vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 3.55pm
Al Fateh 0 - 4 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Nassr 3 - 0 Al Draih
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Al-Nassr has a probability of 29.64% and a draw has a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win is 1-2 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result

Al-Ahli 45.63% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 24.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Al-Nassr 29.64% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.85% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.35% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 18.65% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 59.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 40.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 35.41% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 64.59% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 21.14% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 78.86% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Al-Ahli 36.69%
Draw 37.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Al-Nassr 26.23% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Al-Ahli 51.66% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.14%
Al-Nassr 43.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.02% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 8 11% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 8 25.99% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 51.36% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 9 11.65% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 36.98% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 10.5 40.06% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 10.5 59.94% ▲ (+0.26)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 49.12% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 50.88% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 24.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 75.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 9.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 90.55% ▲ (+0.08)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 67.35% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 32.65% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 35.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 64.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 45.63%
Draw 24.68%
Al-Nassr 29.64%
Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 45.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.68%
Al-Nassr
1-2 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 29.64%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2026 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al-Awwal Park
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 76' goal
  • Ayman Yahya 85' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Coman 90' goal
  • Abdullah Al-Hamdan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Sultan Al-Ghannam 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Saad Al-Nasser 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Sultan Al-Ghannam 90'+12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Firas Al-Buraikan 63'
  • yellowcard Saleh Abu Al-Shamat 78'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Abdulrahman 90'+7'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Jan 2, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Alinma Stadium
  • Ivan Toney 7' goal
  • Ivan Toney 20' goal
  • Merih Demiral 55' goal
  • Saleh Abu Al-Shamat 77' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Abdulrahman 81' yellowcard
  • Eid Al-Muwallad 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Abdulelah Al-Amri 31'
  • goal Abdulelah Al-Amri 44'
  • yellowcard Nawaf Boushal 46'
  • yellowcard Ayman Yahya 46'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al-Khaibari 64'
  • yellowcard Abdulrahman Ghareeb 86'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hassan 90'+3'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 20
Feb 13, 2025 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ali Majrashi 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ziyad Al-Johani 59' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 78' goal
  • Ibanez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Sumayhan Alnabit 90'+8' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 32'
  • redcard Mohamed Simakan 47'
  • goal Ayman Yahya 80'
  • goal Jhon Duran 88'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 88'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Abdulhakim Al Fatil 90'+9'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Bassam Al-Hurayji 90'+9' goal
  • Franck Kessie 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ziyad Al-Johani 28'
  • goal Franck Kessie 57'
  • yellowcard Bassam Al-Hurayji 83'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 90'+11'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 24
Mar 15, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ibanez 12' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Roberto Firmino 57' goal
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 42'
  • yellowcard Otavio 53'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 68'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 90'+10'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2023 7.00pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT Mrsool Park
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 4' goal
  • Anderson Talisca 17' goal
  • Sadio Mane 34' yellowcard
  • Anderson Talisca 45'+6' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 52' goal
  • Anderson Talisca 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 30'
  • yellowcard Ali Majrashi 45'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 50'
  • goal Firas Albirakan 87'
  • yellowcard Saad Yaslam 90'+3'