AFC Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 12, 2026 7.15pm
Al-Awwal Park

Al-Nassr vs Neftchi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 5.00pm
Al-Ain 0 - 0 Al-Nassr

Neftchi

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 2.45pm
Neftchi 1 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw has a probability of 21.96% and a win for Neftchi has a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.18%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.37%) , while for a Neftchi win it is 0-1 (5.35%).

Result

Al-Nassr 57.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 21.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Neftchi 20.33% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.13% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 20.87% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 56.41% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 43.59% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 34.6% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 65.4% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 21.37% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 78.63% ▲ (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Al-Nassr 41.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 38.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Neftchi 19.88% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Al-Nassr 65.26% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 5.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Neftchi 29.5% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 58.49% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 29.97% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 46.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 41.51% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 35.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 55.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 44.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 29.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 70.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.64% ▲ (+0.02)

Neftchi Goals

Over 0.5 57.1% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 42.9% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 24.99% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 75.01% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 8.37% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 91.63% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 57.73%
Draw 21.94%
Neftchi 20.34%
Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 10.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71%
3-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 12.23%
Total : 57.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37%
0-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.94%
Neftchi
0-1 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 20.34%