Saudi Pro League Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
Alinma Stadium

Al Ittihad vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.00pm
Al Fateh 0 - 0 Al Ittihad
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Steven Bergwijn

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Nassr 2 - 1 Al-Taawoun
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Ângelo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Al Ittihad has a probability of 25.93% and a draw has a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.18%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win is 2-1 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.03%).

Result

Al Ittihad 25.93% (-0.13)
Draw 22.02%
Al-Nassr 52.06% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.11% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 14.37% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 67.46% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 32.54% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 46.58% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 53.42% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 31.03% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 68.97% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Al Ittihad 27.85% (-0.12)
Draw 35.78% (+0.03)
Al-Nassr 36.37% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Al Ittihad 42.98% (-0.08)
No Goal 3.57%
Al-Nassr 53.45% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.83% (+0.83)
Equal 8 10.48% (-0.09)
Under 8 27.69% (-0.75)
Over 9 50.81% (+0.85)
Equal 9 11.02% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.17% (-0.83)
Over 10.5 40.13% (+0.79)
Under 10.5 59.87% (-0.79)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 1.5 34.87% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 65.13% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 15.17% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84.83% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.35% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.65% (+0.02)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 82.17% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 17.83% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 58.24% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 41.76% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 33.81% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 66.19% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 16.48% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 83.52% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Al Ittihad 25.93%
Draw 22.02%
Al-Nassr 52.05%
Al Ittihad
2-1 @ 5.92% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.92% (-0.03)
Total : 25.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 3.57%
3-3 @ 2.54%
Other @ 0.43% (+0.02)
Total : 22.02%
Al-Nassr
1-2 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.08% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.34%
2-3 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 16.05% (+0.15)
Total : 52.05%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2026 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al-Awwal Park
  • Ayman Yahya 76' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 84' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mané 84' yellowcard
  • Nawaf Boushal 90' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Al Hamdan 90' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Al-Hamdan 90' yellowcard
  • Ali Al-Hassan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Ângelo 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Ahmed Al-Ghamdi 46'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Ali Barnawi 73'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Barnawi 73'
  • yellowcard Talal Haji 90'
Saudi Pro League
Sep 26, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 30
May 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Sadio Mane 3' goal
  • Ayman Yahya 37' goal
  • Ali Al Hassan 61' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Alkhaibari 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 49'
  • goal N'Golo Kante 52'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 67'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al Amri 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabinho 90'+3'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 90'+4'
  • redcard Moussa Diaby 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Steven Bergwijn 90'+7'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Dec 6, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Karim Benzema 55' goal
  • Danilo Pereira 60' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 64' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 67' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 24'
  • yellowcard Sultan Al-Ghanam 42'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 57'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 59'
  • yellowcard Otavio 67'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 34
May 27, 2024 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
  • Sadio Mane 3' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 45'+3' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 69' goal
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 78' goal
  • Meshari Al Nemer 90'+5' goal
  • Abdulelah Al Amri 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Abdulelah Al Amri 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Suwailem Al Menhali 51'
  • redcard Suwailem Al Menhali 66'
  • goal Farhah Al-Shamrani 89'
  • goal Fabinho 90'+2'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2023 6.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 2
FT King Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 14' goal
  • Faisal Al-Ghamdi 28' yellowcard
  • N'Golo Kante 40' yellowcard
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 47' yellowcard
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 51' goal
  • Fabinho 60' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 66' redcard
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 19'
  • yellowcard Luis Castro 29'
  • yellowcard Seko Fofana 30'
  • goal Anderson Talisca 38'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 47'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 45'+11'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 68'
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 70'
  • goal Sadio Mane 75'
  • goal Sadio Mane 82'