Club Friendlies 3
Jan 29, 2026 12.00am
Stadion Lokomotiv

Arda vs Neftchi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arda

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 1.00pm
Arda 2 - 1 Ufa

Neftchi

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 12.00am
Neftchi 0 - 0 Michalovce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arda win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw has a probability of 28.68% and a win for Neftchi has a probability of 28.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arda win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.17%) , while for a Neftchi win it is 0-1 (10.56%).

Result

Arda 42.96% (+0.18)
Draw 28.68% (-0.09)
Neftchi 28.32% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.71% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 35.29% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 38.15%
Under 2.5 61.85%
Over 3.5 18.79%
Under 3.5 81.21%
Over 4.5 9.57% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.43% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Arda 28.84% (+0.02)
Draw 43.14% (+0.03)
Neftchi 28.02% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Arda 47.34% (+0.03)
No Goal 11.48% (-0.02)
Neftchi 41.18%

Corners

Over 8 42.91% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.16% (+0.01)
Under 8 44.92% (-0.02)
Over 9 31.89%
Equal 9 11.02% (+0.01)
Under 9 57.09% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 22.7%
Under 10.5 77.3%

Arda Goals

Over 1.5 34.85% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 65.15% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 13.46% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.54% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.03% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.97% (-0.04)

Neftchi Goals

Over 0.5 59.79% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 40.21% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 23.95% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 76.05% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 6.55% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 93.45% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.03% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.97% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Arda 42.96%
Draw 28.68%
Neftchi 28.32%
Arda
1-0 @ 13.21% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.63% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.35% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.02% (+0.03)
Total : 42.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.48% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.68%
Neftchi
0-1 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.02% (-0.01)
Total : 28.32%