Club Friendlies 3
Jan 16, 2026 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Športni Park Aluminij

Aluminij vs Neftchi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aluminij

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 9.00am
Wisla Plock 2 - 0 Aluminij

Neftchi

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Aluminij 28.28%
Draw 25.61%
Neftchi 46.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.88%
Under 2.5 52.12%
Over 3.5 26.02% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.98% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.25% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.75% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Aluminij 22.82%
Draw 43.03% (-0.01)
Neftchi 34.15% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Aluminij 37.15%
No Goal 8.16%
Neftchi 54.69%

Corners

Over 8 53.53% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.26%
Under 8 34.21% (-0.01)
Over 9 41.43% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 46.47% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 30.52%
Under 10.5 69.48%

Aluminij Goals

Over 1.5 28.41%
Under 1.5 71.59%
Over 2.5 9.62% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.38% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.67%
Under 3.5 97.33%

Neftchi Goals

Over 0.5 74.83% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.17% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.94%
Under 1.5 58.06%
Over 2.5 18.13%
Under 2.5 81.87%
Over 3.5 6.31% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.69% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Aluminij 28.29%
Draw 25.62%
Neftchi 46.12%
Aluminij
1-0 @ 8.14% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.78% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.62%
Neftchi
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-2 @ 7.73% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.38%
0-3 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.62%
Other @ 6.28% (-0.01)
Total : 46.12%