Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 9.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tsarsko Selo Sports Complex
  • goal Zoran Marusic 28'
  • goal Zoran Marušić 28'
  • goal Sarsenbayev 83'
  • goal Nurbek Sarsenbaev 83'

Septemvri Sofia vs Neftchi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Septemvri Sofia

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 1.00pm
Septemvri Sofia 1 - 0 Wisla Krakow

Neftchi

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.00am
Wisla Krakow 0 - 0 Neftchi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Septemvri Sofia had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Septemvri Sofia win was 1-0 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Septemvri Sofia 28.44% (+0.98)
Draw 27.08% (+1.45)
Neftchi 44.48% (-2.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.76% (+0.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.71% (-1.72)
Under 1.5 30.29% (+1.72)
Over 2.5 44.9% (-2.60)
Under 2.5 55.1% (+2.60)
Over 3.5 23.3% (-1.56)
Under 3.5 76.7% (+1.61)
Over 4.5 12.99% (-1.32)
Under 4.5 87.01% (+1.32)

First Half Winner

Septemvri Sofia 17.81% (-1.96)
Draw 37.91% (-1.62)
Neftchi 44.28% (+3.57)

Team To Score First

Septemvri Sofia 31.2% (-1.56)
No Goal 9.49% (+0.84)
Neftchi 59.31% (+0.72)

Corners

Over 8 43.2% (+0.29)
Equal 8 12.04% (+0.02)
Under 8 44.76% (-0.31)
Over 9 32.26% (+0.23)
Equal 9 10.94% (+0.04)
Under 9 56.8% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 23.1% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 76.9% (-0.18)

Septemvri Sofia Goals

Over 1.5 26.7%
Under 1.5 73.3%
Over 2.5 9.39% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 90.61% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.52% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.48% (+0.10)

Neftchi Goals

Over 0.5 72.76% (-1.59)
Under 0.5 27.24% (+1.59)
Over 1.5 39.65% (-3.04)
Under 1.5 60.35% (+3.04)
Over 2.5 16.37% (-2.34)
Under 2.5 83.63% (+2.34)
Over 3.5 6.3% (-1.12)
Under 3.5 93.7% (+1.11)

Score analysis

Septemvri Sofia 28.44%
Draw 27.07%
Neftchi 44.49%
Septemvri Sofia
1-0 @ 8.79% (+0.53)
2-1 @ 6.6%
2-0 @ 4.63% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 2.26% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.35% (-0.03)
Total : 28.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.93)
0-0 @ 9.49% (+0.84)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.07)
Total : 27.07%
Neftchi
0-1 @ 12.01% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 7.93% (-0.42)
0-3 @ 3.86% (-0.81)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.14)
Other @ 6.13% (-1.04)
Total : 44.49%