Saudi Pro League Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Awwal Park

Al-Nassr vs NEOM SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Ahli 0 - 0 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 4.40pm
NEOM SC 0 - 1 Al Ettifaq
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw has a probability of 19.95% and a win for NEOM SC has a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.08%) , while for a NEOM SC win it is 0-1 (3.95%).

Result

Al-Nassr 66.8% ▲ (+0.88)
Draw 19.95% ▼ (-0.38)
NEOM SC 13.26% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.76% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.61% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 19.39% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 57.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 42.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 34.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 65.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 22.56% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 4.5 77.44% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Al-Nassr 51.72% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 33.41% ▼ (-0.85)
NEOM SC 14.87% ▲ (+1.26)

Team To Score First

Al-Nassr 71.3% ▼ (-0.44)
No Goal 4.84% ▲ (+0.05)
NEOM SC 23.86% ▲ (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 52.5% ▼ (-10.25)
Equal 8 11.41% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 8 36.09% ▲ (+9.86)
Over 9 41.34% ▼ (-9.72)
Equal 9 11.16% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 9 47.5% ▲ (+10.25)
Over 10.5 31.27% ▼ (-8.45)
Under 10.5 68.73% ▲ (+8.46)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 62.3% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 1.5 37.7% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 2.5 35.2% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 2.5 64.8% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 16.14% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 3.5 83.86% ▼ (-0.57)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 0.5 49.31% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 0.5 50.69% ▲ (+1.25)
Over 1.5 17.98% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 1.5 82.02% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 2.5 4.31% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 95.69% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 3.5 1.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.91% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 66.79%
Draw 19.96%
NEOM SC 13.24%
Al-Nassr
2-0 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.34)
1-0 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.30)
2-1 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.34)
3-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.58)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 16.13% ▲ (+0.56)
Total : 66.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.96%
NEOM SC
0-1 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 13.24%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al-Awwal Park
  • Sultan Al-Ghannam 64' yellowcard
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 64' yellowcard
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 65' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Al-Khaibari 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ayman Yahya 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Simakan 90'+5' goal
  • Ali Al-Hassan 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Faris Abdi 61'
  • yellowcard Salman Al-Faraj 67'
  • yellowcard Hassan Al-Ali 84'
Saudi Pro League
Nov 8, 2025 1.50pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT