AFC Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 2, 2026 1.45pm

Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pakhtakor Tashkent

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 7.15pm
Al-Ahli 1 - 1 Pakhtakor

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 5.00pm
Al-Ain 0 - 0 Al-Nassr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent has a probability of 27.2% and a draw has a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win is 2-1 (6.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).

Result

Pakhtakor Tashkent 27.2%
Draw 22.49%
Al-Nassr 50.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.09%
Under 1.5 17.91%
Over 2.5 61.23%
Under 2.5 38.77%
Over 3.5 39.87%
Under 3.5 60.13%
Over 4.5 25.05%
Under 4.5 74.95%

First Half Winner

Pakhtakor Tashkent 23.75%
Draw 38.04%
Al-Nassr 38.21%

Team To Score First

Pakhtakor Tashkent 35.94%
No Goal 4.61%
Al-Nassr 59.45%

Corners

Over 8 53.41%
Equal 8 11%
Under 8 35.59%
Over 9 42.59%
Equal 9 10.82%
Under 9 46.59%
Over 10.5 32.75%
Under 10.5 67.25%

Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals

Over 1.5 33.67%
Under 1.5 66.33%
Over 2.5 13.85%
Under 2.5 86.15%
Over 3.5 4.81%
Under 3.5 95.19%

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 80.15%
Under 0.5 19.85%
Over 1.5 53.33%
Under 1.5 46.67%
Over 2.5 27.94%
Under 2.5 72.06%
Over 3.5 12.04%
Under 3.5 87.96%

Score analysis

Pakhtakor Tashkent 27.19%
Draw 22.48%
Al-Nassr 50.33%
Pakhtakor Tashkent
2-1 @ 6.16%
1-0 @ 5.55%
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 27.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.48%
Al-Nassr
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-1 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 5.86%
0-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.99%
Other @ 11.71%
Total : 50.33%