Saudi Pro League Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2026 2.30pm
Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah)

Al Faisaly vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Faisaly

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 19, 2026 7.00pm
Al Shabab 2 - 2 Al Faisaly
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Nassr 1 - 0 NEOM SC
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw has a probability of 18.93% and a win for Al Faisaly has a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.25%) , while for a Al Faisaly win it is 2-1 (4.15%).

Result

Al Faisaly 14.55% ▲ (+0.41)
Draw 18.93% ▲ (+0.29)
Al-Nassr 66.52% ▼ (-0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.62% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.47% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 16.53% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 64.17% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 2.5 35.83% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 3.5 42.36% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 3.5 57.64% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 4.5 27.91% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 4.5 72.09% ▲ (+0.61)

First Half Winner

Al Faisaly 16.21% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 32.32% ▲ (+0.40)
Al-Nassr 51.47% ▼ (-0.56)

Team To Score First

Al Faisaly 27.21% ▲ (+0.29)
No Goal 3.86% ▲ (+0.13)
Al-Nassr 68.93% ▼ (-0.41)

Corners

Over 8 54.17% ▼ (-1.22)
Equal 8 11.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 34.72% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 9 43.16% ▼ (-1.11)
Equal 9 11.01% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 9 45.83% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 10.5 33.07% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 10.5 66.93% ▲ (+0.93)

Al Faisaly Goals

Over 1.5 22.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 77.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 7.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.02% ▼ (-0.03)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 89% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 0.5 11% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 65.59% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 1.5 34.41% ▲ (+0.84)
Over 2.5 38.7% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 2.5 61.3% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 3.5 18.48% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 3.5 81.52% ▲ (+0.65)

Score analysis

Al Faisaly 14.55%
Draw 18.93%
Al-Nassr 66.52%
Al Faisaly
2-1 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 14.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 18.93%
Al-Nassr
1-2 @ 10.44% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 18.38% ▼ (-0.61)
Total : 66.52%