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Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Cuiaba
Santos
1 - 1
Cuiaba
Braga (75')
Zanocelo (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marllon (16')
Walter (72'), Pepe (81')

Preview: Santos vs. Cuiaba - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cuiaba will face Santos in their final match of the Campeonato Brasileiro season with the visitors needing a point to guarantee safety.

The hosts are in 15th position and are guaranteed a Copa Sudamericana place, but a victory could result in qualification for next season's Copa Libertadores if results elsewhere go their way.


Match preview

Santos' Lucas Braga celebrates with teammates after an own goal scored by Libertad and Santos' second on August 13, 2021© Reuters

Santos could yet finish in the top eight, although they will need several teams to trip up on the final matchday of the Campeonato Brasileiro season.

If other sides falter then Santos will need to secure victory to qualify for the Copa Libertadores, and their recent form suggests a positive result is likely.

Thursday's hosts have ended the season with a superb run of results after losing just once in their previous seven games - winning four matches in that period.

Their last victory came away against Flamengo in midweek, with a goal from Marcos Leonardo proving enough to secure all three points.

Having won four of their last five home matches, Santos will be confident that they can end the season with a victory.

Cuiaba coach Jorginho reacts on October 17, 2021© Reuters

Cuiaba are set for a tense final matchday as they head into Thursday's encounter three points clear of the relegation zone.

A point against Santos would ensure that they remain in the top flight, but a defeat would leave them hoping that Juventude and Bahia fail to win their respective fixtures.

Jorginho's side claimed an important victory in midweek, with Elton scoring from the spot to edge out Fortaleza.

That crucial win ended a three-game winless run, but their recent away form will be a cause for concern ahead of Thursday's fixture.

That is because Cuiaba are winless in their last eight away fixtures, while they have also lost four of their previous five away games.

Santos Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Cuiaba Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Santos' Angelo Gabriel celebrates scoring their fifth goal with teammates on May 4, 2021© Reuters

Felipe Jonatan and Diego Tardelli are both out for the hosts with groin and thigh injuries respectively.

Santos are also expected to be without Jobson, John and Kevin Malthus as the trio struggle with injury issues.

Leonardo has impressed of late, scoring four goals in his last three games, and the 18-year-old will aim to continue his fine goalscoring run on Thursday.

Cuiaba welcomed Auremir back from injury in their last outing after making a substitute appearance in the second half against Fortaleza and he is expected to be on the bench once again.

After their narrow victory in midweek, Jorginho could name an unchanged lineup for the Santos encounter.

Santos possible starting lineup:
Paulo; Melo, Danilo, Felipe; Madson, Zanocelo, Camacho, Braga; Marinho, Guilherme, Leonardo

Cuiaba possible starting lineup:
Walter; Ramon, Paulao, Empereur, Uendel; Cafu, Camilo, Pepe, Marques; Alves, Elton


SM words green background

We say: Santos 1-1 Cuiaba

Santos will be in a confident mood after a three-match unbeaten run, but Cuiaba have proved to be a tough nut to crack having drawn 10 games away from home this season, and we think that they will claim another point on Thursday to keep them in the top flight.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.


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Flamengo coach Renato Gaucho reacts on October 17, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR00000000
2Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO00000000
3Atletico Mineiro00000000
4Bahia00000000
5Botafogo00000000
6BragantinoBragantino00000000
7Corinthians00000000
8CriciumaCriciuma00000000
9Cruzeiro00000000
10Cuiaba00000000
11FlamengoFlamengo00000000
12Fluminense00000000
13FortalezaFortaleza00000000
14Gremio00000000
15InternacionalInternacional00000000
16JuventudeJuventude00000000
17PalmeirasPalmeiras00000000
18Sao Paulo00000000
19Vasco da GamaVasco00000000
20Vitoria00000000

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