Copa Sudamericana
Aug 13, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Gabriel Barbosa 44' goal
  • Gonzalo Escobar 61' yellowcard
  • Willian Arão 76' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 77' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Barreal 82' yellowcard
  • Rony 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Posse 5'
  • yellowcard Luis Ayala 45'+5'
  • yellowcard José Cazares 73'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rodríguez 77'
  • yellowcard Jean Estacio 80'
  • yellowcard Jordán Mohor 90'
  • yellowcard Denilson Bolaños 90'+2'

Santos vs Macara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions

Macara

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Macara had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Macara win was 0-1 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Santos 47.31% (+0.13)
Draw 26.25%
Macara 26.4% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.23% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.03% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 30.97% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 43.45% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 56.55% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 22.16% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 77.84% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 11.85% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 88.15% (+0.20)

First Half Winner

Santos 34.39% (+0.07)
Draw 47.07% (+0.11)
Macara 18.54% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Santos 59.04% (+0.12)
No Goal 9.38% (+0.11)
Macara 31.58% (-0.23)

Corners

Over 8 59.45% (+0.13)
Equal 8 11.53% (-0.03)
Under 8 29.02% (-0.11)
Over 9 47.55% (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 40.55% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 36.3% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 63.7% (-0.12)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 40.49% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 59.51% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 17.4% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.6% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.75% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 94.25% (+0.07)

Macara Goals

Over 0.5 58.84% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 41.16% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 24.48% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 75.52% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 7.25% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 92.75% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.86% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 98.14% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Santos 47.31%
Draw 26.26%
Macara 26.41%
Santos
1-0 @ 12.76% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.89% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 4.46% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 5.74% (-0.06)
Total : 47.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.26%
Macara
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-2 @ 6.44% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.5% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.85% (-0.07)
Total : 26.41%