Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 20, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Steve Solvet 22' yellowcard
  • Aden McCarthy 39' goal
  • Ivan Lepinjica 49' yellowcard
  • Aden McCarthy 57' yellowcard
  • Akim Zedadka 89' yellowcard
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 10'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 53'

Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sabah

All competitions

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Sabah had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Sabah win was 2-1 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Sabah 30.75% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 23% ▲ (+0.18)
Borussia Dortmund 46.25% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.61% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.15% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 19.85% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 58.37% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 41.6% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 3.5 36.29% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 3.5 63.7% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 4.5 22.34% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 4.5 77.66% ▲ (+0.57)

First Half Winner

Sabah 34.34%
Draw 40.27%
Borussia Dortmund 25.39%

Team To Score First

Sabah 48.69% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 5.19% ▲ (+0.17)
Borussia Dortmund 46.12% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 62.2%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 26.5%
Over 9 50.26%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 37.8%
Over 10.5 38.74%
Under 10.5 61.26%

Sabah Goals

Over 1.5 35.12% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 64.88% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 2.5 14.99% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 2.5 85.01% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 6.02% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 93.98% ▲ (+0.25)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 76.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.86% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 52.14% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 24.05% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 75.95% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 9.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 90.15% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Sabah 30.75%
Draw 23.01%
Borussia Dortmund 46.27%
Sabah
2-1 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 30.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.01%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 46.27%