Russian Premier League | Gameweek 30
May 24, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Kazan' Arena

Rubin Kazan
4 - 2
Orenburg

Shabanhaxhaj (5', 24'), Daku (7'), Jocic (88')
Shabanhaxhaj (56'), Hodza (61')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Marin (11'), Mansilla (22')
Mikhailov (18'), Prokhin (56'), Karatas (74'), Kasimov (87'), Saharkhizan Gendishmin (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rubin Kazan and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rubin Kazan

All competitions
Last Game: Khimki 3-2 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, May 17 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 1-2 Krasnodar
Saturday, May 17 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.

Result
Rubin KazanDrawOrenburg
46.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)24.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)28.22% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Rubin Kazan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)53.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Rubin Kazan 46.82%
    Orenburg 28.22%
    Draw 24.95%
Rubin KazanDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.22%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 9am
Gameweek 13
Orenburg
1-2
Rubin Kazan
Saharkhizan Gendishmin (27')
Mansilla (76'), Basic (90+2')
Hodza (48', 87')
Kabutov (33'), Teslenko (64'), Hodza (88')
Apr 8, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Orenburg
3-0
Rubin Kazan
Vorobyev (58'), Khotulev (87'), Marin (89')
Deogracia (35'), Vorobyev (65'), Zotov (82'), Marin (89')

Marin (85')
Jul 30, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 2
Rubin Kazan
1-1
Orenburg
Fameyeh (35')
Iwu (72')
Perez (81')
Vera (45+1'), Perez (56'), Goglichidze (90')
Jul 5, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Rubin Kazan
1-0
Orenburg
Makarov (67')
Samoshnikov (85'), Starfelt (90+2')

Kulishev (22'), Zotov (72')
Sep 15, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 9
Orenburg
2-1
Rubin Kazan
Alves (49'), Kulishev (89' pen.)
Skoflek (13'), Ayupov (78')
Bashkirov (53')
Bashkirov (54'), Stepanov (59'), Uremovic (88'), Pliev (90')