Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Khimki would win this match.