Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.