Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 10, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
1 - 1
Khimki

Karatas (52')
Savelyev (7'), Mansilla (15'), Revazov (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rudenko (79')
Mejia (47'), Bakaev (66')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Khimki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Orenburg
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Khimki

All competitions
Last Game: Khimki 1-1 Rostov
Sunday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawKhimki
57.34% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)20.56% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.58% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97% (0.016000000000005 0.02)43.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)65.43% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)43.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Khimki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.025000000000006 0.03)34.79% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)71.52% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 57.34%
    Khimki 20.56%
    Draw 22.09%
OrenburgDrawKhimki
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 57.34%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.56%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 12.15pm
Gameweek 9
Khimki
0-0
Orenburg
Mirzov (40'), Terekhov (87'), Sadygov (90+7')
Gogoua (25')
Prokhin (82'), Mansilla (90+3')
Nov 4, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 16
Khimki
2-0
Orenburg
Rudenko (50'), Magomedov (66')
Sep 3, 2022 11am
Gameweek 8
Orenburg
3-1
Khimki
Sychevoy (37'), Marin (39', 72')
Sivakov (47'), Ayupov (51'), Sychevoy (55'), Vera (69')
Dolgov (24')
Lomovitski (43')
rhs 2.0


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