Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.