Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 7, 2026 11.00am
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel vs Dynamo Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.15pm
Rubin Kazan 1 - 0 Fakel
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 2.30pm
Dynamo Moscow 2 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
K. Tyukavin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw has a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fakel has a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Fakel win it is 1-0 (7.41%).

Result

Fakel 21.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 26.6%
Dynamo Moscow 52.16% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.88% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 43.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.85%
Under 3.5 77.15%
Over 4.5 12.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.5% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fakel 21.52%
Draw 43.2%
Dynamo Moscow 35.28%

Team To Score First

Fakel 35.34%
No Goal 9.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Dynamo Moscow 55.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.03%
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 31.84%
Over 9 43.84%
Equal 9 12.19%
Under 9 43.97%
Over 10.5 32.66%
Under 10.5 67.34%

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 20.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.3%
Under 3.5 98.7%

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 77.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.82%
Under 1.5 55.18%
Over 2.5 19.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.2%
Under 3.5 92.8%

Score analysis

Fakel 21.25%
Draw 26.59%
Dynamo Moscow 52.17%
Fakel
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45%
3-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.59%
Dynamo Moscow
0-1 @ 13.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-3 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 7.11%
Total : 52.17%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 24, 2024 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Maks Dziov 8' yellowcard
  • Sergey Bozhin 33' yellowcard
  • Dmitri Pyatibratov 45' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Giorgobiani 90'+9' goal
  • goal Daniil Fomin 26'
  • yellowcard Luis Chavez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Diego Laxalt 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Denis Makarov 90'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 20, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT VTB Arena (Moskva)
  • Ivan Lepskiy 3' goal
  • Milan Majstorovic 20' yellowcard
  • Moumi Ngamaleu 21' goal
  • Yaroslav Gladyshev 28' goal
  • Stanislav Bessmertny 31' yellowcard
  • Daniil Fomin 39' redcard
  • Yaroslav Gladyshev 57' yellowcard
  • Andrey Lunev 83' yellowcard
  • Moumi Ngamaleu 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 16'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bryzgalov 38'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Ilyin 46'
  • yellowcard Nichita Motpan 64'
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 74'
  • redcard Sergey Bryzgalov 90'+7'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 22' yellowcard
  • Maksim Maksimov 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 23'
  • goal Yaroslav Gladyshev 29'
  • yellowcard Dmitri Skopintsev 49'
  • yellowcard Fabian Balbuena 78'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT VTB Arena (Moskva)
  • Fabian Balbuena 50' yellowcard
  • Roberto Fernandez 54' yellowcard
  • Daniil Fomin 70' yellowcard
  • Daniil Lesovoy 90'+4' yellowcard
Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Apr 28, 2023 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Khimki
  • goal Georgy Gongadze 49'
  • goal Georgy Gongadze 60'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Jul 30, 2022 1.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Roman Akbashev 20' yellowcard
  • Georgy Gongadze 46' goal
  • Roman Akbashev 48' goal
  • Ruslan Magal 63' yellowcard
  • Ilnur Alshin 86' goal
  • goal Fyodor Smolov 26'
  • goal Fyodor Smolov 44'
  • goal Vasily Cherov 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Arsen Zakharyan 71'
  • redcard Arsen Zakharyan 90'+4'