Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28

May 11, 2025 at 12pm UK

Samara Arena

Akron
3 - 2
Akhmat Grozny

Pestryakov (17'), Dakovac (45+4'), Khubulov (85')
Bakaev (21'), Tavares (61'), Savichev (79'), (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Talal (8'), Melkadze (72')
Silva (75'), Kharin (84')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akron Tolyatti and Akhmat Grozny.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions

Last Game: Akron 1-0 Makhachkala
Friday, May 2 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions

Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 CSKA
Sunday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
35.1% ( -0.05)	26.91% ( -0)	37.99% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.95% (

0.01)

54.04% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52% (

0.01)

75.47% (

-0.01)

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66% (

-0.02)

29.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

-0.03)

65.32% (

0.03)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.03)

27.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

0.04)

63.14% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Akron Tolyatti 35.1%

Akhmat Grozny 37.99%

Draw 26.9%

Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.1%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 37.99%