DFB-Pokal
Oct 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Essen
  • Lucas Brumme 9' goal
  • Dickson Abiama 23' yellowcard
  • Nick Bätzner 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Seiwald 34'
  • redcard Nicolas Seiwald 44'
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 73'
  • yellowcard Neil El Aynaoui 76'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 78'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 82'
  • yellowcard Martín Demichelis 82'
  • yellowcard Ørjan Nyland 90'+5'

Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Essen

All competitions

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rot-Weiss Essen win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rot-Weiss Essen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.17%) and 2-0 (4.8%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Rot-Weiss Essen 47.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 19.9%
RB Leipzig 32.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 87.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 12.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 71.53%
Under 2.5 28.47%
Over 3.5 48.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 51.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 33.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 66.64% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rot-Weiss Essen 31.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 35.55% ▼ (-0.02)
RB Leipzig 32.76% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Rot-Weiss Essen 50.5% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 2.95%
RB Leipzig 46.55% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 63.91%
Equal 8 9.94%
Under 8 26.15%
Over 9 53.3%
Equal 9 10.61%
Under 9 36.09%
Over 10.5 42.84%
Under 10.5 57.16%

Rot-Weiss Essen Goals

Over 1.5 55.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 44.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 32.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 67.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 82.36% ▼ (-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.01%
Under 1.5 59.99%
Over 2.5 18.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.37%
Under 3.5 92.63%

Score analysis

Rot-Weiss Essen 47.98%
Draw 19.9%
RB Leipzig 32.11%
Rot-Weiss Essen
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-1 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 16.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 47.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 2.95%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.9%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54%
0-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.69%
Total : 32.11%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Aug 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Stadion Essen
  • Ramien Safi 2' goal
  • Jose Enrique Rios Alonso 47' yellowcard
  • Ahmet Arslan 63' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 12'
  • goal Lois Openda 40'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 66'
  • goal Antonio Nusa 84'
  • goal Xavi Simons 88'