Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Troy Parrott 12' goal
  • Troy Parrott 45' goal
  • James Abankwah 60' yellowcard
  • Ryan Manning  82' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Prass 71'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 77'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Wöber 85'

Republic of Ireland vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Kosovo 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Austria 3 - 1 Israel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Austria had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Republic of Ireland 42.37%
Draw 23.94%
Austria 33.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 24.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 68.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.12% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Republic of Ireland 33.47%
Draw 43.76%
Austria 22.77%

Team To Score First

Republic of Ireland 58.09%
No Goal 6.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Austria 35.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.77%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 39.42%
Over 9 37.57%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 51.23%
Over 10.5 27.78%
Under 10.5 72.22%

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 1.5 42.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 67.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Republic of Ireland 42.37%
Draw 23.95%
Austria 33.7%
Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.95%
Austria
0-1 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.25%
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 33.7%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 11, 2017 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jonathan Walters 85' goal
  • goal Martin Hinteregger 31'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 12, 2016 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal James McClean 48'
World Cup
Sep 10, 2013 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Alaba 81' goal
  • yellowcard John O'Shea 43'
  • yellowcard Richard Dunne 60'
World Cup
Mar 26, 2013 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jonathan Walters 0' goal
  • goal Martin Harnik 0'
  • goal David Alaba 0'