Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 7.45pm
Nagyerdei Stadion

Israel vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Austria 3 - 1 Israel

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Kosovo 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Israel has a probability of 35.59% and a draw has a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Israel win is 1-0 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result

Israel 35.59% ▼ (-4.87)
Draw 24.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Republic of Ireland 39.58% ▲ (+4.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.28% ▼ (-1.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.21% ▼ (-1.44)
Under 1.5 21.79% ▲ (+1.43)
Over 2.5 55.03% ▼ (-2.90)
Under 2.5 44.97% ▲ (+2.90)
Over 3.5 35.02% ▼ (-1.44)
Under 3.5 64.98% ▲ (+1.45)
Over 4.5 21.02% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 4.5 78.98% ▲ (+1.08)

First Half Winner

Israel 32.12% ▲ (+1.34)
Draw 42.21% ▼ (-1.02)
Republic of Ireland 25.68% ▼ (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Israel 49.94% ▼ (-1.54)
No Goal 6.08% ▲ (+0.59)
Republic of Ireland 43.98% ▲ (+0.95)

Corners

Over 8 62.11% ▲ (+4.77)
Equal 8 11.09% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 8 26.8% ▼ (-5.36)
Over 9 50.42% ▲ (+3.77)
Equal 9 11.69% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 9 37.89% ▼ (-4.77)
Over 10.5 39.14% ▲ (+2.54)
Under 10.5 60.86% ▼ (-2.54)

Israel Goals

Over 1.5 38.06% ▼ (-5.68)
Under 1.5 61.94% ▲ (+5.68)
Over 2.5 17.28% ▼ (-3.66)
Under 2.5 82.72% ▲ (+3.66)
Over 3.5 6.85% ▼ (-1.42)
Under 3.5 93.15% ▲ (+1.43)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 72.31% ▲ (+2.05)
Under 0.5 27.69% ▼ (-2.04)
Over 1.5 41.32% ▲ (+2.42)
Under 1.5 58.68% ▼ (-2.42)
Over 2.5 18.73% ▲ (+1.72)
Under 2.5 81.27% ▼ (-1.72)
Over 3.5 7.31% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 3.5 92.69% ▼ (-0.94)

Score analysis

Israel 35.59%
Draw 24.88%
Republic of Ireland 39.59%
Israel
1-0 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-1.20)
2-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.63)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.45)
3-0 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.81)
Other @ 6.65% ▼ (-1.23)
Total : 35.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.47)
0-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.59)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.42)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.19)
Total : 24.88%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 8.25% ▲ (+1.00)
1-2 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 6.26% ▲ (+1.40)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.69)
2-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.42)
Other @ 7.11% ▲ (+1.13)
Total : 39.59%