Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Rajko Mitić
  • Vladimir Lucic 46' yellowcard
  • Adem Avdić 50' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Radonjic 61' yellowcard
  • Bruno Duarte 79' yellowcard
  • Milson 79' yellowcard
  • Milson 80' yellowcard
  • Bruno Duarte 89' goal
  • yellowcard Ferran Jutlga Blanc 62'
  • yellowcard Fernando Lopez Gonzalez 62'
  • yellowcard Bryan Zaragoza 69'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 83'
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ristic 83'
  • goal Fernando Lopez Gonzalez 87'

Red Star Belgrade vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Malmo 0 - 1 Red Star

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Red Star Belgrade 48.35%
Draw 22.73% (+0.04)
Celta Vigo 28.89% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.89% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.8% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.2% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.1% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.9% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.82% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.15%
Over 4.5 21.47% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.53% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Red Star Belgrade 40.19%
Draw 38.32% (+0.03)
Celta Vigo 21.5% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Red Star Belgrade 58.81% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.23% (+0.02)
Celta Vigo 35.96%

Corners

Over 8 51.24%
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 37.42%
Over 9 40.24%
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 48.76%
Over 10.5 30.39%
Under 10.5 69.61%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 1.5 48.95% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.05% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.92%
Under 2.5 75.08%
Over 3.5 10.82%
Under 3.5 89.18%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 63.85% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.15% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32.86% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.14% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.03% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.97% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.09% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.91% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Red Star Belgrade 48.36%
Draw 22.72%
Celta Vigo 28.88%
Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 10.5%
Total : 48.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.72%
Celta Vigo
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25%
Other @ 3.77% (-0.01)
Total : 28.88%