MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 15:18:13| >> :600:1274545:1274545:
[monks data]
Red Bull Salzburg
Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Villarreal logo

Salzburg
0 - 2
Villarreal


Nissen (29'), Solet (40'), Okafor (89'), Ulmer (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alcacer (41'), Nino (71')
Albiol (90')

Preview: Red Bull Salzburg vs. Villarreal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The Europa League knockout stage kicks off on Thursday, with Red Bull Salzburg welcoming Villarreal to the Red Bull Arena in the first leg of an intriguing round-of-32 tie.

The visitors eased through the group stage, dropping just two points, while the Austrian side dropped out of the Champions League, finishing third in their group, resulting in a place in the final 32 of the Europa League.


Match preview

Salzburg boss Jesse Marsch on October 2, 2019© Reuters

The home side were fighting an uphill battle in the Champions League, having been drawn in a group with Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid, however they managed to secure the third spot with a 3-1 win over Lokomotiv Moscow, allowing them to compete in the Europa League.

Jesse Marsch's side have remained dominant domestically this season, currently on track for their seventh consecutive Austrian title.

Die Roten Bullen sit three points ahead of second-placed Rapid Vienna, having won 13 of their 17 matches in league action.

That is largely down to their strong attacking record, with no side getting close to their 54 goals from 17 games.

Meanwhile, only two teams in the Austrian top flight have conceded fewer than the 18 they have shipped, showing that Marsch has built a balanced and effective side.

They held their spot at the summit of the table with a dramatic win last time out, when they came back from being 2-1 down with 10 minutes to go.

Mergim Berisha equalised for Salzburg, before Patson Daka netted his second of the game to put Marsch's side ahead, with Sekou Koita doubling the lead in added time to see the side from the Austrian capital record a 4-2 victory.

That result stretches Die Roten Bullen's winning run to six matches in all competitions, and they will be hoping to extend that to seven with a victory in this first-leg clash on Wednesday.

Villarreal manager Unai Emery pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Villarreal topped their Europa League group with 16 points, having scored 17 goals from their six matches.

That included an eye-catching 4-0 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv, with Carlos Bacca netting a brace, alongside goals from Alex Baena and Fernando Nino.

However, Unai Emery's side have hit a tougher patch of form in recent weeks, having only won one of their last seven, and remaining five games without a victory in La Liga.

Most recently, the Yellow Submarine fell to a 2-1 defeat at home to Real Betis, with Gerard Moreno scoring a penalty in the second half, after the visitors led 2-0.

As a result of their disappointing form, Villarreal have dropped from third to sixth in La Liga, having previously been on track for Champions League qualification.

That means Emery will be desperate to go deep into this season's Europa League, as winning the trophy could be their only path into continental football next season.

The Spaniard is one of the most qualified men to bring home the trophy too, having guided Sevilla to three consecutive Europa League titles between 2014 and 2016.

Red Bull Salzburg form (all competitions): WWWWWW

Villarreal Europa League form: WWWDWW
Villarreal form (all competitions): DWDLDL


Team News

Villarreal's Gerard Moreno celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates against Real Madrid on November 21, 2020© Reuters

The home side remain without centre-back Maximilian Wober, who is carrying a thigh injury.

The Salzburg defence is also hit by the loss of left-back Bernardo, who recently picked up a knee injury, as well as key centre-back Andre Ramalho, who misses this game through suspension.

Since the departure of Dominik Szoboszlai to RB Leipzig in January, Jesse Marsch's attack has been led by Patson Daka, who has registered 13 goals and five assists in 13 league appearances this season.

Villarreal have no shortage of injuries to deal with for this match, with experienced midfielders Vicente Iborra and Francois Coquelin sidelined, while January signing Etienne Capoue was only fit enough to make the bench on Sunday.

Their attack has also taken a hit, with Samu Chukwueze out with a groin injury.

Emery's attack will likely be led by the exciting combination of Gerard Moreno and Paco Alcacer, who have netted a combined 22 goals in all competitions this season.

The final attacking spot could be up for contention, with Moi Gomez and Fernando Nino both laying their claims to starting places.

Red Bull Salzburg possible starting lineup:
Stankovic; Kristensen, Solet, Vallci, Ulmer; Junuzovic, Mwepu; Berisha, Sucic; Daka, Adeyemi

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Pena, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza; Baena, Foyth, Parejo; Moreno, Alcacer, Gomez


SM words green background

We say: Red Bull Salzburg 2-2 Villarreal

We see this game being a very open and exciting encounter, as two good attacking sides square off at the Red Bull Arena, with neither team coming out on top in this first leg.

While Alcacer and Moreno could have a field day against a weakened Salzburg defence, the attacking threat of Marsch's team, led by the exciting Daka, will cause Villarreal plenty of problems of their own.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


ID:435528: cacheID:435528:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:10550:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Chelsea striker Olivier Giroud celebrates scoring against Sevilla on December 2, 2020
Read Next:
UCL Team of the Week - Giroud, Neymar, Lukaku
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
QWest Ham650115
QFreiburg640212
3Olympiacos62137
4Backa Topola60151

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
QBrighton641113
QMarseille632111
3Ajax61235
4AEK Athens61144

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
QRangers632111
QSparta Prague631210
3Betis63039
4Aris Limassol61144

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
QAtalanta642014
QSporting Lisbon632111
3Sturm Graz61144
4Rakow61144

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
QLiverpool640212
QToulouse632111
3Union SG62228
4LASK61053

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
QVillarreal641113
QRennes640212
3M. Haifa61235
4Panathinaikos61144

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
QSlavia Prague650115
QRoma641113
3Servette61235
4Sheriff Tiraspol60151

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
QB. Leverkusen660018
QQarabag631210
3Molde62137
4Hacken60060


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!