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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 10, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Martinez Valero
Real Sociedad logo

Elche
1 - 2
Real Sociedad

Carrillo (3')
Palacios (21'), Gumbau (24'), Carrillo (34')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sorloth (31'), Le Normand (39')
Isak (19'), Zubimendi (37'), Zaldua (82'), Alguacil (90+1')

Preview: Elche vs. Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Sociedad will be bidding to continue their strong run of form in La Liga when they make the trip to Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on Sunday evening to take on Elche.

The visitors, who occupy sixth spot in the table, recorded a 1-0 victory over Espanyol last time out, while Elche will enter the contest off the back of a 2-1 defeat at Athletic Bilbao.


Match preview

Elche's Fidel celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 6, 2022© Reuters

Elche finished 17th in La Liga last season, and they are bidding to make it back-to-back campaigns at this level of football for the first time since 2015.

Los Franjiverdes have had their problems this term, but a total of 32 points from 30 matches has left them in 15th spot in the table, six points clear of the relegation zone, so they are in a strong position to avoid being relegated back to the Segunda Division.

Francisco's side have been on a worrying run of form in recent weeks, though, losing four of their last five in the league, including their last two against Valencia and Athletic Bilbao either side of the international break.

Elche have only lost four of their 14 home league matches this season, recording five wins in the process, but they have lost each of their last three top-flight contests against Real Sociedad, including a 1-0 defeat in the reverse match between the two sides earlier this term.

Real Sociedad's Mikel Oyarzabal celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 5, 2022© Reuters

Real Sociedad, meanwhile, were 1-0 winners over Espanyol on April 4, securing an important three points courtesy of a last-gasp penalty from Alexander Isak.

The Basque outfit have been victorious in four of their last six league matches, suffering just one defeat in the process, while they have picked up seven points from their last three games against Alaves, Sevilla and Espanyol, which has kept them in the mix for a top-four finish.

Real Sociedad are currently sixth in the table, six points behind fourth-placed Sevilla on the same number of matches (30), while they are now six points clear of seventh-placed Villarreal.

From this position, it would be a surprise if Imanol Alguacil's side did not finish in a European spot, but they have some tough matches ahead, taking on Real Betis and Barcelona in their next two after this one.

The White and Blues, who finished fifth in Spain's top flight last season, have won five, drawn five and lost five for their 15 away league games this term, while they have lost just one of their last six La Liga matches against Elche, recording five wins in the process.

Elche La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Real Sociedad La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Real Sociedad's Adnan Januzaj celebrates scoring their first goal with Mikel Oyarzabal on January 19, 2022© Reuters

Elche will be boosted by the return of Antonio Barragan and Javier Pastore from suspension, but Lucas Boye is expected to miss out due to the injury that he picked up against Athletic last time out.

Boye's absence will open the door for Ezequiel Ponce to feature alongside Pere Milla in the final third of the field, with Tete Morente and Fidel operating in the wide areas.

Barragan should be back in the side at right-back, but the midfield is likely to be unchanged from the clash against Athletic, with Ivan Marcone playing alongside Gerard Gumbau.

As for Real Sociedad, Mikel Oyarzabal, Nacho Monreal, Carlos Fernandez and Ander Barrenetxea will miss the contest through injury.

However, the visitors will be boosted by the return of Adnan Januzaj, and it would not be a surprise to see the Belgian return to the starting XI in a forward position.

There is also expected to be a change in the middle of the park, with Mikel Merino pushing to replace Rafinha.

Januzaj's return could see Isak move from a wide area to the centre-forward spot, while David Silva and Portu are also set to keep their starting roles in the final third of the field on Sunday.

Elche possible starting lineup:
Badia; Barragan, Gonzalez, Bigas, Olaza; Morente, Marcone, Gumbau, Fidel; Milla, Ponce

Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Remiro; Gorosabel, Zubeldia, Le Normand, Rico; Zubimendi, Merino; Portu, D Silva, Januzaj; Isak


SM words green background

We say: Elche 1-2 Real Sociedad

Elche are more than capable of making this a difficult match for Real Sociedad, who need to keep winning to stay in touch with the top four. The home side certainly have enough quality to find the back of the net, but we are expecting the visitors to claim an important three points on Sunday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.


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Game History

How you voted: Elche vs Real Sociedad

Elche
25.9%
Draw
14.8%
Real Sociedad
59.3%
54
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Real Sociedad's Alexander Isak celebrates scoring their first goal on November 25, 2021
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6Real Sociedad167361611524
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16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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