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Real Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 9
Dec 1, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Athletic Bilbao logo
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (40')
Modric (68'), Casemiro (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zarraga (31'), Lekue (43'), Williams (77')

Preview: Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In their bid to make it five league wins on the bounce, Real Madrid play host to Athletic Bilbao on Wednesday.

Los Blancos moved four points clear at the top of the La Liga table with a win over Sevilla at the weekend, while the visitors saw their league winless run stretched to five games.


Match preview

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 30, 2021© Reuters

Following the return of manager Carlo Ancelotti over the summer, Real Madrid have had a relatively strong start in their bid to reclaim the La Liga title.

In line with an improvement in the Champions League, with the Madrid giants confirming their passage to the round of 16 with a double over Shakhtar Donetsk and a victory against Sheriff Tiraspol consecutively, they have also strung four league wins together heading into Wednesday.

After wins over Elche and Rayo Vallecano heading into the recent international break, Ancelotti's men picked up where they left off upon the return, firstly thrashing Granada 4-1 thanks to goals from Marco Asensio, Nacho, Vinicius Junior and Ferland Mendy.

Vinicius was again on the scoresheet last time out, as he secured all three points for his side in the dying minutes against Sevilla, after Karim Benzema had drawn them level in the first half at the Santiago Bernabeu.

With previous league leaders Real Sociedad falling to a defeat at the weekend, Los Blancos now boast a four-point lead at the summit of the Spanish top flight, having won 10 of their 14 games, and they will be keen to make it five on the spin on home turf on Wednesday.

Athletic Bilbao coach Marcelino reacts on August 8, 2021© Reuters

They welcome an Athletic Bilbao side looking to arrest a slump, with the visitors failing to win any of their last five league outings.

Marcelino's men enjoyed a strong start to the domestic campaign, collecting 16 points from their opening nine La Liga matches, but their form has since taken a dip.

After draws with Espanyol and Real Sociedad, the Basque outfit suffered a disappointing 1-0 defeat to strugglers Cadiz prior to the international break.

Since their return, Athletic Club have failed to beat Levante and Granada, both of whom sit in the bottom five with the former winless so far this term, playing out disappointing draws on both occasions.

As a result, Marcelino's side have now dropped to eighth spot in the top flight, and they face a particularly tough task on Wednesday in their bid to halt the difficult run and climb back into the top six.

Real Madrid La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Real Madrid form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D



Team News

Karim Benzema celebrates scoring for Real Madrid in November 2021© Reuters

Real Madrid should be without midfielder Dani Ceballos and wingers Eden Hazard and Gareth Bale, although the trio have all struggled to nail down starting spots in recent seasons, while the potential loss of attacker Rodrygo could be a bigger concern for Ancelotti.

Eder Militao and David Alaba should again partner up at the back, while the midfield trio of Toni Kroos, Luka Modric and Casemiro is unlikely to be changed.

Karim Benzema remains a talisman going forward, with the Frenchman currently leading the league scoring charts with 11 goals in 13 league games, while winger Vinicius Junior has also enjoyed an eye-catching season, hitting the net nine times in the league.

Athletic Bilbao will be missing important centre-back Inigo Martinez, who was sent off in the dying minutes of their draw with Granada last time out, while Peru Nolaskoain, Yuri Berchiche, Dani Vivian and Asier Villalibre are all on the sidelines.

Unai Nunez should partner Yeray Alvarez in the absence of Martinez and Vivian, while key forward Inaki Williams will hope to return to the front line on Wednesday.

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Alaba, Mendy; Kroos, Casemiro, Modric; Vinicius, Benzema, Asensio

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Lekue, Alvarez, Nunez, Balenziaga; N Williams, Vencedor, D Garcia, Muniain; I Williams, R Garcia


SM words green background

We say: Real Madrid 3-1 Athletic Bilbao

Given the form of the two sides, we can only see Los Blancos extending their winning run on Wednesday.

The hosts' front line is full of confidence, while the visitors are far from their best and could be picked apart in the capital.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid
92.3%
Draw
4.7%
Athletic Bilbao
3.0%
234
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid29226164204472
2Barcelona29197360342664
3GironaGirona29195559342562
4Athletic Bilbao29168550262456
5Atletico MadridAtletico29174854342055
6Real Sociedad291210742311146
7Real BetisBetis29101273433142
8Valencia28117103232040
9Villarreal29108114751-438
10Getafe2991193742-538
11Las PalmasLas Palmas29107122932-337
12Osasuna29106133343-1036
13AlavesAlaves2988132635-932
14Mallorca29612112535-1030
15Rayo Vallecano29611122538-1329
16Sevilla29610133644-828
17Celta Vigo2969143244-1227
18CadizCadiz29313132040-2022
19Granada2828183058-2814
20Almeria29110182857-2913

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