Jul 25, 2026 10.30am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Red Bull Arena

Simon Lorenz 12'
Ezechiel Banzuzi 55'

RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

W
L
L
W
L
W

Club Friendlies 3

W
L

Last game

Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm

Altglienicke 1 - 2 RB Leipzig

FC Ingolstadt 04

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
L

Club Friendlies 3

W
W
W
W

Last game

Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm

Ingolstadt 1 - 0 Palermo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.86% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%) , while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 70.3%

Draw 16.86% ▼ (-0.08)

FC Ingolstadt 04 12.84% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score:

61.42% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.76% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 1.5 14.24% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 2.5 67.09% ▲ (+0.38)

Under 2.5 32.91% ▼ (-0.38)

Over 3.5 44.96% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 3.5 55.04% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 4.5 31.69% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 4.5 68.31% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 55.11% ▲ (+0.08)

Draw 30.26% ▼ (-0.07)

FC Ingolstadt 04 14.63%

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 68.79% ▲ (+0.07)

No Goal 3.04% ▼ (-0.03)

FC Ingolstadt 04 28.17% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 79.61% ▼ (-0.10)

Equal 8 7.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 8 12.67% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 9 70.06% ▼ (-0.13)

Equal 9 9.55% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 9 20.39% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 10.5 59.33% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 10.5 40.67% ▲ (+0.13)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 69.56% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 1.5 30.44% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 2.5 43.25% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 2.5 56.75% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 3.5 22.4% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 3.5 77.6% ▼ (-0.20)

FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals

Over 0.5 49.44% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 50.56% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 20.63% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 1.5 79.37% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 2.5 6.06% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 2.5 93.94% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 3.5 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 98.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 70.31%

Draw 16.88%

FC Ingolstadt 04 12.84%

RB Leipzig

2-1 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.04)

2-0 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.16)

1-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.07)

3-1 @ 7.51%

3-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 22.39% ▲ (+0.20)

Total : 70.31%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.07)

2-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.03)

3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 16.88%

FC Ingolstadt 04

1-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.07)

0-1 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.05)

2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 1.42%

1-3 @ 1.07%

Other @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 12.84%

Head to Head

Apr 29, 2017 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Dayotchanculle Upamecano 18'
Stefano Ilsanker 26'
Yussuf Poulsen 59'

Dario Lezcano 28'
Roger 43'
Marcel Tisserand 48'
Alfredo Morales 59'
Stefan Lex 64'
Alfredo Morales 86'

Dec 10, 2016 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Roger 12'
Mathew Leckie 94'
Mathew Leckie 94'
Florent Hadergjonaj 95'

Marcel Sabitzer 34'
Timo Werner 61'
Stefan Islanker 91'
Davie Selke 94'

Form Data

Altglienicke 1 - 2 RB Leipzig

Mamelodi Sundowns 3 - 1 RB Leipzig

Freiburg 4 - 1 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig 2 - 1 St Pauli

B. Leverkusen 4 - 1 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Union Berlin

Ingolstadt 1 - 0 Palermo

Ingolstadt 2 - 0 LASK

Ingolstadt 2 - 0 Eichstatt

Ingolstadt 4 - 2 SV Ried

Ingolstadt 5 - 0 Eichstatt

Ingolstadt 1 - 2 Kaiserslautern