Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Jul 9, 2020 at 6pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 1
Southampton

Richarlison (43')
Richarlison (45+1'), Calvert-Lewin (45+1'), Digne (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ings (31')
Armstrong (14'), Stephens (34'), Bednarek (61')

Reaction

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on July 9, 2020

Carlo Ancelotti unhappy with referee display in Everton draw with Southampton

Richarlison scored the equaliser before being brought down by Jan Bednarek on the edge of the penalty area.

Jul 9, 21:00

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Southampton
43.42%	26.01%	30.56%

Both teams to score 52.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.49%

51.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69%

73.3%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42%

23.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35%

57.65%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92%

31.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6%

67.39%

Score Analysis

Everton 43.42%

Southampton 30.56%

Draw 26.01%

Everton	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.33% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.56%