Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 29.68% | 25.06% | 45.26% |
| Both teams to score 55.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% | 70.08% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% | 65.95% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% | 21.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.93% | 54.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.25% Total : 29.68% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.26% |