Brighton

3 - 2

Man City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.