Champions League
May 4, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Riyad Mahrez 11' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 63' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 22'
  • redcard Angel di Maria 69'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 71'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 87'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 89'

Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 28, 2021 8.00pm
PSG 1 - 2 Man City

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 28, 2021 8.00pm
PSG 1 - 2 Man City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-2 with a probability of 5.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (5.35%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-3 (4.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 50.96%
Draw 17.49%
Paris Saint-Germain 31.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

84.99%

Goals

Over 2.5 89.03%
Under 2.5 10.97%
Over 3.5 76.03%
Under 3.5 23.96%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 94.39%
Under 0.5 5.61%
Over 1.5 78.23%
Under 1.5 21.77%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 90.04%
Under 0.5 9.95%
Over 1.5 67.08%
Under 1.5 32.92%

Score analysis

Manchester City 50.96%
Draw 17.49%
Paris Saint-Germain 31.55%
Manchester City
3-2 @ 5.92%
2-1 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 5.13%
4-2 @ 4.27%
4-1 @ 3.7%
4-3 @ 3.28%
5-2 @ 2.46%
2-0 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 2.23%
5-1 @ 2.13%
5-3 @ 1.89%
1-0 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.6%
6-2 @ 1.18%
5-4 @ 1.09%
6-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 5.79%
Total : 50.96%
Draw
2-2 @ 6.17%
3-3 @ 4.56%
1-1 @ 3.71%
4-4 @ 1.89%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 17.49%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-3 @ 4.74%
1-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-4 @ 2.74%
3-4 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-2 @ 1.49%
0-1 @ 1.29%
2-5 @ 1.26%
3-5 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 5.58%
Total : 31.55%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 28, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 15' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 70' yellowcard
  • Neymar 74' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 77' redcard
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 31'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 64'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 71'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 86'
Champions League
Apr 12, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernandinho 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin de Bruyne 76' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Trapp 29'
  • yellowcard Javier Pastore 67'
  • yellowcard Gregory van der Wiel 68'
Champions League
Apr 6, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Luiz 1' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 41' goal
  • Blaise Matuidi 48' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 59' goal
  • yellowcard Gael Clichy 11'
  • yellowcard Fernando 35'
  • goal Kevin de Bruyne 38'
  • goal Fernandinho 72'
  • yellowcard Eliaquim Mangala 83'
  • yellowcard Jesus Navas 85'

Build-up

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Predicted Lineups