EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Final

Apr 25, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 0
Spurs

Laporte (82')
Laporte (45'), Fernandinho (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reguilon (27')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured in February 2021

Gary Neville hails Pep Guardiola as greatest manager of all time

Gary Neville heaps praise on Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola claiming that he is "the greatest manager of all time", after Man City win the EFL Cup.

Apr 26, 13:09

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on January 10, 2021

Pep Guardiola "so delighted" to win EFL Cup

City dominated Tottenham at Wembley.

Apr 25, 19:32

Tottenham Hotspur interim manager Ryan Mason pictured on April 21, 2021

Ryan Mason: 'Tottenham Hotspur players are feeling the pain'

Tottenham were beaten 1-0 by Manchester City in the Carabao Cup at Wembley.

Apr 25, 19:32

A general shot of a Premier League football ahead of the Premier League clash between Everton and West Ham United at Goodison Park on October 30, 2016

Player ratings from the EFL Cup final between Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur

Manchester City beat Tottenham to win Carabao Cup - how the players rated

Apr 25, 18:14

Manchester City's Aymeric Laporte celebrates scoring against Tottenham Hotspur in the EFL Cup final on April 25, 2021

Aymeric Laporte hails "superb" Manchester City win

The Frenchman nodded home a winner 10 minutes from time.

Apr 25, 18:12

Manchester City fans inside the stadium before the EFL Cup final with Tottenham Hotspur on April 25, 2021

Wembley welcomes 8,000 supporters for EFL Cup final

Manchester City and Tottenham had 2,000 supporters each at the game.

Apr 25, 16:09

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
53.62%	22.12%	24.25%

Both teams to score 60.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27%

38.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96%

61.04%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49%

14.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.49%

42.51%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89%

29.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96%

65.04%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 53.62%

Tottenham Hotspur 24.25%

Draw 22.12%

Manchester City	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 6.25% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.02% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.62%	1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 6.21% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.28% Total : 24.25%