Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 18
Mar 9, 2026 7.00pm
Alexandra Stadium

Stoke City Under-21s vs Burnley U21 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
Norwich U21s 4 - 2 Stoke U21s
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Tyler Martin

Burnley U21

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
Fulham U21s 3 - 1 Burnley U21
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Zachary David Johnson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley U21 has a probability of 34.07% and a draw has a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.84%) and 3-1 (5.37%). The likeliest Burnley U21 win is 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.06%).

Result

Stoke City Under-21s 44.15% (-1.89)
Draw 21.83% (+0.37)
Burnley U21 34.07% (+1.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.48% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.87% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 14.13% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 67.7% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 32.3% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 46.63% (-1.25)
Under 3.5 53.37% (+1.25)
Over 4.5 30.62% (-1.17)
Under 4.5 69.38% (+1.18)

First Half Winner

Stoke City Under-21s 32.26% (-1.08)
Draw 36.64% (+0.08)
Burnley U21 31.1% (+1.00)

Team To Score First

Stoke City Under-21s 51.03% (-1.18)
No Goal 3.49% (+0.18)
Burnley U21 45.48% (+1.00)

Corners

Over 8 55.26% (+2.93)
Equal 8 11.35% (+0.17)
Under 8 33.39% (-3.11)
Over 9 43.92% (+2.54)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.41)
Under 9 44.74% (-2.93)
Over 10.5 33.48% (+1.97)
Under 10.5 66.52% (-1.97)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 51.1% (-1.90)
Under 1.5 48.9% (+1.90)
Over 2.5 27.34% (-1.81)
Under 2.5 72.66% (+1.82)
Over 3.5 12.02% (-1.02)
Under 3.5 87.98% (+1.03)

Burnley U21 Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (+1.26)
Under 0.5 29.45% (-1.27)
Over 1.5 42.91% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 57.09% (-0.96)
Over 2.5 20.95% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 79.05% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 8.97% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 91.03% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 44.15%
Draw 21.82%
Burnley U21 34.08%
Stoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.36% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.84% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.41% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.09)
Other @ 11.5% (-1.00)
Total : 44.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.06% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 6.53% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.49% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 2.22% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.52% (-0.03)
Total : 21.82%
Burnley U21
1-2 @ 7.26% (+0.35)
0-1 @ 4.85% (+0.30)
1-3 @ 4.1% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 3.76% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 3.52% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.32)
Other @ 8.45% (+0.19)
Total : 34.08%