Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 16
Feb 23, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Zachary David Johnson 22' goal
  • Brandon Pouani 60' yellowcard
  • Roman Egan-Riley 60' yellowcard
  • Luca Scanlon 73' yellowcard
  • Kian McMahon-Brown 83' yellowcard
  • Vernon Masara 83' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Smith 48'
  • yellowcard Cameron Wilson 63'
  • yellowcard Shaun Wade 63'
  • yellowcard Keilen Robinson 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Perry 63'
  • yellowcard Dantel Hodges 82'

Burnley U21 vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley U21

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 4.00pm
Everton U21s 2 - 2 Burnley U21
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Vernon Masara

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 0 - 0 Man City U21s
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Justin Oguntolu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley U21 win with a probability of 56.89%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley U21 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Burnley U21 56.89% (-0.59)
Draw 18.99% (+0.23)
Derby County Under-21s 24.12% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.95% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.6% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 10.4% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 73.52% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 26.48% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 51.37% (-1.18)
Under 3.5 48.63% (+1.18)
Over 4.5 36.11% (-1.04)
Under 4.5 63.89% (+1.04)

First Half Winner

Burnley U21 46.52%
Draw 29.31%
Derby County Under-21s 24.18%

Team To Score First

Burnley U21 59.25% (-0.29)
No Goal 2.58% (+0.07)
Derby County Under-21s 38.17% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 68.34% (+0.13)
Equal 8 9.29% (+0.05)
Under 8 22.37% (-0.17)
Over 9 58.07% (+0.07)
Equal 9 10.27% (+0.06)
Under 9 31.66% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 47.58%
Under 10.5 52.42%

Burnley U21 Goals

Over 1.5 64.21% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 35.79% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 39.85% (-1.40)
Under 2.5 60.15% (+1.40)
Over 3.5 20.86% (-1.20)
Under 3.5 79.14% (+1.21)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 60.83% (+0.79)
Under 0.5 39.17% (-0.79)
Over 1.5 34.24% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 65.76% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 15.64% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 84.36% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 5.37% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.63% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Burnley U21 56.88%
Draw 18.99%
Derby County Under-21s 24.12%
Burnley U21
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.47)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 5.94% (+0.23)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 4.72% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.13)
Other @ 20.54% (-1.18)
Total : 56.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.57% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.62% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 2.58% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.32% (-0.03)
Total : 18.99%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 5.76% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.21% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 3.09% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.7% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.05% (+0.10)
Total : 24.12%