Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.