Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.49%) and 0-1 (5.88%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.