Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 20
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County Under-21s vs Middlesbrough Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 4 - 2 West Ham U21s
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Justin Oguntolu

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
Boro U21s 6 - 1 Stoke U21s
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jack Daley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Derby County Under-21s has a probability of 35.84% and a draw has a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win is 2-1 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.38%).

Result

Derby County Under-21s 35.84%
Draw 23.27%
Middlesbrough Under-21s 40.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.43%
Under 1.5 17.57%
Over 2.5 61.69%
Under 2.5 38.31%
Over 3.5 40.46%
Under 3.5 59.54%
Over 4.5 25.01%
Under 4.5 74.99%

First Half Winner

Derby County Under-21s 29.71%
Draw 36.87%
Middlesbrough Under-21s 33.42%

Team To Score First

Derby County Under-21s 43.85%
No Goal 4.3%
Middlesbrough Under-21s 51.85%

Corners

Over 8 56.54%
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 31.77%
Over 9 44.74%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 43.46%
Over 10.5 33.84%
Under 10.5 66.16%

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 41.94%
Under 1.5 58.06%
Over 2.5 19.21%
Under 2.5 80.79%
Over 3.5 7.28%
Under 3.5 92.72%

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 75.16%
Under 0.5 24.84%
Over 1.5 46.22%
Under 1.5 53.78%
Over 2.5 22.08%
Under 2.5 77.92%
Over 3.5 8.65%
Under 3.5 91.35%

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 35.85%
Draw 23.28%
Middlesbrough Under-21s 40.89%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.5%
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 2.28%
Other @ 6.99%
Total : 35.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.28%
Middlesbrough Under-21s
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-1 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 4.8%
2-3 @ 3.94%
0-3 @ 2.83%
Other @ 8.36%
Total : 40.89%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Nov 5, 2023 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Calum Kavanagh 52' goal
  • Yacou Traore 66' yellowcard
  • Calum Kavanagh 82' yellowcard
  • Jack Hannah 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard C 12'
  • yellowcard Adebayo Fapetu 58'
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 24, 2023 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kido Taylor-Hart 36' goal
  • goal Jeremie Sivi 43'
  • goal Jeremie Sivi 49'
  • goal Law McCabe 79'
  • goal Ajay Matthews 82'
  • goal Jeremie Sivi 88'
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 12, 2022 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Heritage Park
  • Isaac Fletcher 1' goal
  • Jeremie Sivi 65' goal
  • Max Howells 87' goal
  • goal George Nunn 3'
  • yellowcard Will Grewal-Pollard 46'