Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 15
Apr 3, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Johnson Osong 31' yellowcard
  • Jack Perry 46' yellowcard
  • Dantel Hodges 46' yellowcard
  • Israel Green 46' yellowcard
  • Justin Oguntolu 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooklyn Nfonkeu 62'
  • yellowcard Matty Warhurst 62'
  • yellowcard Femi Fapetu 72'

Derby County Under-21s vs Manchester City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 1 - 0 Boro U21s
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Justin Oguntolu

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Birmingham City U21 1 - 5 Man City U21s
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matty Warhurst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 57.88%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.1%) and 1-3 (7.06%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Derby County Under-21s 22.25% (-2.90)
Draw 19.92% (-1.48)
Manchester City Under-21s 57.88% (+4.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.72% (+1.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.33% (+2.15)
Under 1.5 13.67% (-2.15)
Over 2.5 68.36% (+3.16)
Under 2.5 31.64% (-3.15)
Over 3.5 48.04% (+4.82)
Under 3.5 51.96% (-4.82)
Over 4.5 32.29% (+4.29)
Under 4.5 67.71% (-4.30)

First Half Winner

Derby County Under-21s 25.57% (+2.54)
Draw 34.92% (-0.63)
Manchester City Under-21s 39.51% (-1.92)

Team To Score First

Derby County Under-21s 36.6% (-0.15)
No Goal 3.22% (-1.07)
Manchester City Under-21s 60.18% (+1.22)

Corners

Over 8 52.88% (-1.98)
Equal 8 11.11% (-0.99)
Under 8 36.01% (+2.97)
Over 9 41.97% (-0.83)
Equal 9 10.91% (-1.15)
Under 9 47.12% (+1.98)
Over 10.5 32.07% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 67.93% (-0.25)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 31.85% (-1.75)
Under 1.5 68.15% (+1.75)
Over 2.5 13.13% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 86.87% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.19)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 84.96% (+3.18)
Under 0.5 15.04% (-3.18)
Over 1.5 62.2% (+5.32)
Under 1.5 37.8% (-5.32)
Over 2.5 37.11% (+4.57)
Under 2.5 62.89% (-4.57)
Over 3.5 18% (+3.98)
Under 3.5 82% (-3.97)

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 22.25%
Draw 19.92%
Manchester City Under-21s 57.87%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.1% (-0.99)
1-0 @ 3.77% (-0.74)
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 2.61%
2-0 @ 2.55% (-0.68)
Other @ 4.63% (-0.03)
Total : 22.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.83)
2-2 @ 6.07% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-1.07)
3-3 @ 1.98% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.20)
Total : 19.92%
Manchester City Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% (+0.48)
1-3 @ 7.06% (+0.46)
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.34)
0-3 @ 5.07%
2-3 @ 5% (-0.01)
Other @ 17.68% (+3.77)
Total : 57.87%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 23, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Emmanuel Ilesanmi 3' goal
  • Lennon Wheeldon 38' goal
  • Tristan Gill 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Wright 45'
  • yellowcard Jahmal Simpson-Pussey 50'
  • goal Matthew Hendersson-Hall 80'
  • yellowcard Lakyle Samuel 85'
  • goal Matty Warhurst 86'
  • redcard Lakyle Samuel 90'
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Oct 28, 2023 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Dajaune Brown 14' goal
  • Dajaune Brown 39' goal
  • Daniel Cox 62' yellowcard
  • Jaydan Davidson 70' goal
  • Tony Weston 90' goal
  • goal Justin Oboavwoduo 21'
  • goal Emilio Lawrence 50'
  • yellowcard Lakyle Samuel 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Okeke 75'