Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 15
Apr 3, 2026 7.00pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County Under-21s vs Manchester City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 1 - 0 Boro U21s
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Justin Oguntolu

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Birmingham City U21 1 - 5 Man City U21s
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matty Warhurst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 57.88%. A win for Derby County Under-21s has a probability of 22.25% and a draw has a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.1%) and 1-3 (7.06%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win is 2-1 (5.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.33%).

Result

Derby County Under-21s 22.25% (-2.90)
Draw 19.92% (-1.48)
Manchester City Under-21s 57.88% (+4.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.72% (+1.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.33% (+2.15)
Under 1.5 13.67% (-2.15)
Over 2.5 68.36% (+3.16)
Under 2.5 31.64% (-3.15)
Over 3.5 48.04% (+4.82)
Under 3.5 51.96% (-4.82)
Over 4.5 32.29% (+4.29)
Under 4.5 67.71% (-4.30)

First Half Winner

Derby County Under-21s 25.57% (+2.54)
Draw 34.92% (-0.63)
Manchester City Under-21s 39.51% (-1.92)

Team To Score First

Derby County Under-21s 36.6% (-0.15)
No Goal 3.22% (-1.07)
Manchester City Under-21s 60.18% (+1.22)

Corners

Over 8 52.88% (-1.98)
Equal 8 11.11% (-0.99)
Under 8 36.01% (+2.97)
Over 9 41.97% (-0.83)
Equal 9 10.91% (-1.15)
Under 9 47.12% (+1.98)
Over 10.5 32.07% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 67.93% (-0.25)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 31.85% (-1.75)
Under 1.5 68.15% (+1.75)
Over 2.5 13.13% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 86.87% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.19)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 84.96% (+3.18)
Under 0.5 15.04% (-3.18)
Over 1.5 62.2% (+5.32)
Under 1.5 37.8% (-5.32)
Over 2.5 37.11% (+4.57)
Under 2.5 62.89% (-4.57)
Over 3.5 18% (+3.98)
Under 3.5 82% (-3.97)

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 22.25%
Draw 19.92%
Manchester City Under-21s 57.87%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.1% (-0.99)
1-0 @ 3.77% (-0.74)
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 2.61%
2-0 @ 2.55% (-0.68)
Other @ 4.63% (-0.03)
Total : 22.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.83)
2-2 @ 6.07% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-1.07)
3-3 @ 1.98% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.20)
Total : 19.92%
Manchester City Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% (+0.48)
1-3 @ 7.06% (+0.46)
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.34)
0-3 @ 5.07%
2-3 @ 5% (-0.01)
Other @ 17.68% (+3.77)
Total : 57.87%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 23, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Emmanuel Ilesanmi 3' goal
  • Lennon Wheeldon 38' goal
  • Tristan Gill 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Wright 45'
  • yellowcard Jahmal Simpson-Pussey 50'
  • goal Matthew Hendersson-Hall 80'
  • yellowcard Lakyle Samuel 85'
  • goal Matty Warhurst 86'
  • redcard Lakyle Samuel 90'
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Oct 28, 2023 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Dajaune Brown 14' goal
  • Dajaune Brown 39' goal
  • Daniel Cox 62' yellowcard
  • Jaydan Davidson 70' goal
  • Tony Weston 90' goal
  • goal Justin Oboavwoduo 21'
  • goal Emilio Lawrence 50'
  • yellowcard Lakyle Samuel 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Okeke 75'