Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Birmingham City U21 had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%) , while for a Birmingham City U21 win it was 2-1 (2.82%).