Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 15
Mar 9, 2026 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Aurelien Guernier 62' goal
  • Alex Ranson 86' yellowcard
  • Ray Ranson 86' yellowcard
  • Zaid Betteka 90' yellowcard
  • goal Shumaira Mheuka 32'
  • yellowcard Kaiden Wilson 60'
  • yellowcard Jesse Derry 60'
  • yellowcard Harrison McMahon 69'
  • goal Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 74'
  • goal Harrison McMahon 82'
  • goal Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 86'
  • yellowcard Shaun Wade 87'

Birmingham City U21 vs Chelsea Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City U21

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Birmingham City U21 1 - 1 Man Utd U21s
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Zaid Betteka

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 7.00pm
Man Utd U21s 0 - 2 Chelsea U21s
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Shumaira Mheuka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 61.85%. A win for Birmingham City U21 had a probability of 19.45% and a draw had a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.48%) and 1-3 (6.85%). The likeliest Birmingham City U21 win was 2-1 (4.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%).

Result

Birmingham City U21 19.45% (+0.27)
Draw 18.64% (+0.11)
Chelsea Under-21s 61.85% (-0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.81% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.03% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 13.97% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 68.08%
Under 2.5 31.92%
Over 3.5 47.35% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 52.65% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 32.94% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 67.06% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City U21 25.05% (+0.15)
Draw 35.03% (+0.04)
Chelsea Under-21s 39.93% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Birmingham City U21 37.79% (+0.19)
No Goal 3.35%
Chelsea Under-21s 58.86% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 51.53% (-0.43)
Equal 8 11.49% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.98% (+0.41)
Over 9 40.38% (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.15% (-0.02)
Under 9 48.47% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 30.4% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 69.61% (+0.36)

Birmingham City U21 Goals

Over 1.5 27.38% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 72.62% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 10.43% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 89.57% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 3.44% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.56% (-0.07)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 86.22% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 13.78% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 64.59% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 35.41% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 40.1% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 59.9% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 21.47% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 78.53% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Birmingham City U21 19.45%
Draw 18.65%
Chelsea Under-21s 61.85%
Birmingham City U21
2-1 @ 4.68% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 3.73% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.05)
Total : 19.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.99% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.35%
3-3 @ 1.64% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.03)
Total : 18.65%
Chelsea Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.48% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 6.85% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5.79% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.07)
Other @ 21.24% (-0.08)
Total : 61.85%