Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 15
Feb 13, 2026 7.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City U21 vs Chelsea Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City U21

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 1.00pm
Spurs U21s 0 - 0 Birmingham City U21
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Louie Rea

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.00pm
Chelsea U21s 0 - 0 Blackburn U21s
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Shim Mheuka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 61.47%. A win for Birmingham City U21 has a probability of 19.58% and a draw has a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Birmingham City U21 win is 2-1 (4.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.14%).

Result

Birmingham City U21 19.58% (-0.31)
Draw 18.9% (-0.06)
Chelsea Under-21s 61.47% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.44% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 13.56% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 68.5% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 31.44% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 48.51% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 51.49% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 33.27% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 66.73% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City U21 22.58% (-0.15)
Draw 33.06% (-0.01)
Chelsea Under-21s 44.36% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Birmingham City U21 38.49% (+0.04)
No Goal 3.15% (+0.07)
Chelsea Under-21s 58.36% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.25% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 33.01%
Over 9 43.54% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.75% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.82% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 67.18% (+0.03)

Birmingham City U21 Goals

Over 1.5 28.15% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 71.85% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 11.09% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 88.91% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.68% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 96.32% (+0.14)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 86.23% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 13.77% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 64.87% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 35.13% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 40.33% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 59.67% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 20.71% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 79.29% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Birmingham City U21 19.58%
Draw 18.9%
Chelsea Under-21s 61.48%
Birmingham City U21
2-1 @ 4.37% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.54% (-0.15)
Total : 19.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.15% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.9%
Chelsea Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 7.58% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 5.55% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 4.58% (+0.05)
Other @ 20.57% (+0.31)
Total : 61.48%