Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.87%) and 0-1 (5.75%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.