Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.94%) and 0-1 (5.88%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.