Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 57.78%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 21.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.