Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 15.83% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%) , while for a Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.