Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 72.01%. A draw had a probability of 14.79% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 3-0 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.97%) , while for a Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.