Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 74.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.42% and a win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 12.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 6.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%) , while for a Norwich City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.